Introduction to Probability

Fall 2009
Tuesdays, 2:10 - 4:00 PM
   Fridays, 9:10 - 10:00 PM
Instructor:
Dr. Berlin Chen (陳柏琳)
 

Tentative Topic List:

09/15 (Tue)

 

Course Overview & Introduction

 
09/18 (Fri)   Chapter 1: Sets and Probabilistic Models  
09/22 (Tue)   Chapter 1: Conditional Probability, Total Probability Theorem and Bayes' Rule  
09/25 (Fri)   Chapter 1: Conditional Probability, Total Probability Theorem and Bayes' Rule Supplementary problems
09/29 (Tue)   Chapter 1: Independence & Counting HW-1 (Due 10/09)  Chapter 1: 2, 8, 13, 18, 24
10/02 (Fri)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Basics  
10/06 (Tue)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Basics  
10/09 (Fri)   Quiz 1 (9:00~9:50 a.m.) Scope: Sections 1.1-1.5
10/13 (Tue)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Expectation, Mean, Variance  
10/16 (Fri)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Expectation, Mean, Variance  
10/20 (Tue)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Joint PMFs, Conditioning and Independence & Quiz 2 (open-book, 14:10~14:45 p.m.) Scope: Sections 2.1-2.5
10/23 (Fri)   Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables: Joint PMFs, Conditioning and Independence HW-2 (Due 11/03)  Chapter 2: 7, 14, 21
10/27 (Tue)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Basics  
10/30 (Fri)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Basics  
11/03 (Tue)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Basics  
11/06 (Fri)   Discussion on homework and Quizzes  
11/10 (Tue)   Quiz 3 (2:00~4:00 p.m.) Scope: Chapters 1 and 2
11/13 (Fri)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Conditioning, Expectation and Independence  
11/17 (Tue)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Conditioning, Expectation and Independence  
1/20 (Fri)   Break (School Sports Day)  
11/24 (Tue)   Midterm (2:00~4:00 p.m.) Scope: Chapters 1 and 2
11/27 (Fri)   Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables: Conditioning, Expectation and Independence HW-3 (Due 12/08)  Chapter 3: 4, 7, 11, 16
12/01 (Tue)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Derived Functions Notice of Possible Failure to Pass
12/04 (Fri)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Derived Functions  
12/08 (Tue)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Covariance and Correlation  
12/11 (Fri)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Conditional Expectation and Variance Revisited  
12/15 (Tue)   Quiz 3 (2:00~4:00 p.m.) Scope: Chapter 3
12/18 (Fri)   Recitation & TA Time  
12/22 (Tue)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Conditional Expectation and Variance Revisited  
12/25 (Fri)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Transforms (Moment Generating Functions) & Sum of a Random Number of Random Variables  
12/29 (Tue)   Chapter 4: Further Topics on Random Variables: Transforms (Moment Generating Functions) & Sum of a Random Number of Random Variables  
12/18 (Fri)   Break (New-Year Holidays)  
01/05 (Tue)   Review of Chapters 2 & 3  
01/08 (Fri)   Review of Chapters 2 & 3; Discussion on homework and Quizzes  
01/12 (Tue)   Final (2:00~4:00 p.m.) Scope: Chapters 3 and 4

Textbook:
     1.   D. P. Bertsekas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, “Introduction to Probability,” Athena Scientific, 2008.

References:
   
1.   William C. Navidi, “Statistics for Engineers and Scientists,” McGraw-Hill, 2007.
     2.   Prem S. Mann, “Introductory Statistics,” Wiley, 2006.